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Tim Harford explains the numbers and statistics in the news and in life

Tim Harford explains the numbers and statistics in the news and in life.

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More or Less: Mitigation or suppression: What’s best to tackle coronavirus?

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Mitigation or Suppression: What’s best to tackle Coronavirus?

21/03/2020 GMT

Mitigation or suppression: What’s best to tackle coronavirus?

BBC World Service - More or Less, Mitigation or suppression: What’s best to tackle coronavirus?

How statistical modelling can help us respond to the Coronavirus pandemic

How statistical modelling can help governments decide how to respond to the Coronavirus pandemic

Last week, while schools and businesses across Europe closed in an attempt to halt the spread of Coronavirus the UK stood alone in a more relaxed approach to the pandemic; letting people choose whether they wanted to go to work, or socially distance themselves. This week, things have changed. Schools are closing for the foreseeable future and exams have been cancelled. 
 
The British government says their change of heart was based on the work scientists like Christl Donnelly from Imperial College London and the University of Oxford. So what has Christl found that has caused such concern?

(Image: A lollipop lady helps children cross the road in Glasgow. Credit: EPA/Robert Perry)

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