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Tim Harford explains the numbers and statistics in the news and in life

Tim Harford explains the numbers and statistics in the news and in life.

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More or Less: Climate change and using statistics to predict football results.

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Climate change and using statistics to predict football results.

20/01/2012

BBC World Service - More or Less, Climate change and using statistics to predict football results.

A bet about climate change is settled. Plus, predicting the Africa Cup of Nations winner.

A four-year bet between two scientists about climate change is settled. Plus, a sports statistician attempts to predict the results of the 2012 Africa Cup of Nations. Tim Harford presents.

CLIMATE CHANGE
A four-year bet between two scientists about global warming is settled. 

In 2008, after there had been no new record for the global average temperature since 1998, David Whitehouse and James Annan disagreed over whether there would be a new record set by 2011. 

As the UK Meteorological Office publishes the figures for the past year, presenter Tim Harford bring the two scientists together.  

Who has won, and does the victory tell us anything about global warming? 

Plus, Peter Stott from the Met Office tells us how the world’s temperature is measured.

AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS
Sports statistician Robert Mastrodomenico attempts to predict the results of the 2012 Africa Cup of Nations football tournament. 

Will his numerical analysis impress the BBC's African football expert Farayi Mungazi in Gabon?

Producer: Ruth Alexander

(Image: Dried up river bed near Lodwar, Kenya. Credit: Getty Images)

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